Auxerre

3 - 4

Lille

Sun, Dec 14, 2025 16:15 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 33%
Away: 67%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (4.55 - 4.55 - 1.79)
HOMETEAM: 22%
22%
AWAYTEAM: 56%

Auxerre (Fact Index 4.55): Expected Win % is 22%, compared to a 42% actual win rate for identical index values.

Lille (Fact Index 1.79): Expected Win % is 56%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 42%
8%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 25%
25%
Underdog : 50%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Auxerre : 28% (▲ 6%)
27% (▲ 5%)
Lille : 45% (▼ 11%)


Average Odds : 4.5 - 3.7 - 1.8
Auxerre : 22% (-)
26% (▲ 4%)
Lille : 53% (▼ 3%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 0%
D : 25%
AWAY : 75%

Awayteam = 1.8 Trend:

HOME : 23%
D : 20%
AWAY : 57%

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