Neutral venue

Uruguay

0 - 1

Spain

Uruguay turns their stadium into a fortress with 2 straight home wins. Meanwhile, Tactical Masterclass: Spain reach 10 without dropping all points.

Sat, Jun 27, 2026 00:00 (UTC) / Host: USA, CANADA, MEXICO


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 0%
Away: 100%

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.13 - 2.78 - 3.13)
HOMETEAM: 32%
36%
AWAYTEAM: 32%

Uruguay (Fact Index 3.13): Expected Win % is 32%, compared to a 44% actual win rate for identical index values.

Spain (Fact Index 3.13): Expected Win % is 32%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 44%
23%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 56%
22%
Underdog : 22%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 3.5 (Model A.)
Uruguay : 23% (▼ 9%)
24% (▼ 12%)
Spain : 53% (▲ 21%)


Average Odds : 7.1 - 4.2 - 1.5
Uruguay : 13% (▼ 19%)
23% (▼ 13%)
Spain : 64% (▲ 32%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 14%
D : 43%
AWAY : 43%

Awayteam = 1.5 Trend:

HOME : 10%
D : 20%
AWAY : 70%

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