Metz

1 - 3

Paris

Paris dominance: Metz drop 2nd straight matchup. However, The Paris FC Juggernaut: 8 matches since last defeat.

Sun, Apr 19, 2026 15:15 (UTC)


Facts

Metz :
Giorgi Kvilitaia 31'
Paris :
Ilan Kebbal 89'
Otávio 69'
Alimami Gory 21'
GOLAZO de Kebbal, le Paris FC INTRAITABLE à Metz | 30ème journée - Ligue 1 McDonald's 25/26
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 0%
Away: 100%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (5.00 - 2.78 - 2.27)
HOMETEAM: 20%
36%
AWAYTEAM: 44%

Metz (Fact Index 5.00): Expected Win % is 20%, compared to a 22% actual win rate for identical index values.

Paris (Fact Index 2.27): Expected Win % is 44%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 22%
45%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 37%
38%
Underdog : 25%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 2.5 (Model A.)
Metz : 22% (▲ 2%)
27% (▼ 9%)
Paris : 51% (▲ 7%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Metz | 0.103 | 0.240 | ▲ 0.137
T | Paris | 0.276 | 0.437 | ▲ 0.161
H | Metz | 0.143 | 0.323 | ▲ 0.180
A | Paris | 0.200 | 0.408 | ▲ 0.208
P | Metz | 0.000 | 0.212 | ▲ 0.212
P | Paris | 0.500 | 0.711 | ▲ 0.211
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 3.5 - 3.5 - 2.1
Metz : 28% (▲ 8%)
27% (▼ 9%)
Paris : 45% (▲ 1%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 20%
D : 33%
AWAY : 47%

Awayteam = 2.1 Trend:

HOME : 7%
D : 33%
AWAY : 60%

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