Fluminense

0 - 0

Bahia

Unbeaten at Home: Fluminense's Run Hits 5. However, Fortress Bahia: 5-match unbeaten streak.

Thu, Jul 30, 2026 00:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 38%
D: 38%
Away: 25%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.56 - 2.50 - 4.76)
HOMETEAM: 39%
40%
AWAYTEAM: 21%

Weight: [Adjacent] (5.26)
Intensity: [Extreme] (94.74)

Fluminense (Fact Index 2.56):
Expected Win % is 39%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Bahia (Fact Index 4.76):
Expected Win % is 21%, compared to a 14% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Fluminense:
T : 0.450 (0.559 / ▼0.109)
H : 0.700 (0.655 / ▲0.045)
A : 0.200 (0.450 / ▼0.250)
P : 0.167 (0.500 / ▼0.333)

Bahia:
T : 0.400 (0.548 / ▼0.148)
H : 0.364 (0.638 / ▼0.274)
A : 0.444 (0.450 / ▼0.006)
P : 0.333 (0.581 / ▼0.248)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
100%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
100%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 7 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 43%
43%
AWAY : 14%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 5 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 40%
40%
Underdog : 20%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Fluminense : 57% (▲ 18%)
28% (▼ 12%)
Bahia : 15% (▼ 6%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.6 - 1.3 (Model B.4)
Fluminense : 43% (▲ 4%)
34% (▼ 6%)
Bahia : 23% (▲ 2%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 90.5%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.8 - 3.6 - 4.5
Fluminense : 53% (▲ 14%)
26% (▼ 14%)
Bahia : 21% (-)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 13 game(s)

HOME : 54%
D : 31%
AWAY : 15%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (53%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 23%
AWAY : 17%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 23%
AWAY : 20%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (53%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 30%
AWAY : 17%


User's choice

Voting has closed.

You're the first!

© 2020 - 2026 | Waveflow SportsLab | Terms of Use · Privacy Policy | All Rights Reserved.

©2026 Waveflow SportsLab
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy