Cruzeiro

3 - 0

Vitória

Unbeaten at Home: Cruzeiro's Run Hits 4. However, Away Nightmare Continues for Winless Vitória FC.

Wed, Apr 1, 2026 23:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 40%
Away: 0%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.23 - 2.22 - 4.17)
HOMETEAM: 31%
45%
AWAYTEAM: 24%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (52.63)
Intensity: [Moderate] (47.37)

Cruzeiro (Fact Index 3.23):
Expected Win % is 31%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Vitória (Fact Index 4.17):
Expected Win % is 24%, compared to a 29% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Cruzeiro:
T : 0.000 (0.289 / ▼0.289)
H : 0.000 (0.441 / ▼0.441)
P : 0.000 (0.386 / ▼0.386)

Vitória:
T : 0.429 (0.428 / ▲0.001)
P : 0.333 (0.340 / ▼0.007)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 7 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 57%
14%
AWAY : 29%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 5 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 60%
0%
Underdog : 40%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Cruzeiro : 44% (▲ 13%)
31% (▼ 14%)
Vitória : 25% (▲ 1%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.4 - 1.1 (Model B.4)
Cruzeiro : 43% (▲ 12%)
25% (▼ 20%)
Vitória : 32% (▲ 8%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 85.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.6 - 3.8 - 6.1
Cruzeiro : 59% (▲ 28%)
25% (▼ 20%)
Vitória : 16% (▼ 8%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 10 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 30%
AWAY : 20%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (59%) Trend: 27 game(s)

HOME : 63%
D : 22%
AWAY : 15%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 67%
D : 20%
AWAY : 13%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (59%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 67%
D : 13%
AWAY : 20%


User's choice

Voting has closed.

You're the first!

© 2020 - 2026 | Waveflow SportsLab | Terms of Use · Privacy Policy | All Rights Reserved.

©2026 Waveflow SportsLab
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy