Al Ittihad

2 - 1

Al Fayha

Steel and Grit: 6 fixtures undefeated for Al Ittihad.

Tue, Sep 8, 2026 18:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 67%
D: 33%
Away: 0%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.44 - 2.70 - 4.55)
HOMETEAM: 41%
37%
AWAYTEAM: 22%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (35.29)
Intensity: [Fierce] (64.71)

Al Ittihad (Fact Index 2.44):
Expected Win % is 41%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Al Fayha (Fact Index 4.55):
Expected Win % is 22%, compared to a 15% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Al Ittihad:
T : 0.600 (0.674 / ▼0.074)
P : 0.600 (0.674 / ▼0.074)

Al Fayha:
T : 0.200 (0.371 / ▼0.171)
P : 0.200 (0.371 / ▼0.171)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 20 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
35%
AWAY : 15%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 17 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 47%
35%
Underdog : 18%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Al Ittihad : 46% (▲ 5%)
31% (▼ 6%)
Al Fayha : 23% (▲ 1%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.6 - 1.0 (Model B.4)
Al Ittihad : 46% (▲ 5%)
23% (▼ 14%)
Al Fayha : 31% (▲ 9%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 66.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.4 - 4.6 - 5.6
Al Ittihad : 64% (▲ 23%)
20% (▼ 17%)
Al Fayha : 16% (▼ 6%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 2 game(s)

HOME : 100%
D : 0%
AWAY : 0%

Based on Home team = 1.4 (64%) Trend: 8 game(s)

HOME : 100%
D : 0%
AWAY : 0%


Football

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 23%
AWAY : 17%

Based on Home team = 1.4 (64%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 64%
D : 23%
AWAY : 13%


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