Marseille

3 - 0

Brest

Sat, Nov 8, 2025 16:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 10%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.79 - 4.35 - 4.76)
HOMETEAM: 56%
23%
AWAYTEAM: 21%

Marseille (Fact Index 1.79): Expected Win % is 56%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Brest (Fact Index 4.76): Expected Win % is 21%, compared to a 17% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 50%
33%
AWAY : 17%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 60%
30%
Underdog : 10%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Marseille : 66% (▲ 10%)
20% (▼ 3%)
Brest : 15% (▼ 6%)


Average Odds : 1.5 - 4.7 - 6.8
Marseille : 65% (▲ 9%)
21% (▼ 2%)
Brest : 14% (▼ 7%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 67%
D : 30%
AWAY : 3%

Hometeam = 1.5 Trend:

HOME : 70%
D : 17%
AWAY : 13%

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