Auxerre

1 - 0

Toulouse

Sun, Sep 21, 2025 15:15 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 17%
D: 50%
Away: 33%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.70 - 4.76 - 1.92)
HOMETEAM: 27%
21%
AWAYTEAM: 52%

Auxerre (Fact Index 3.70): Expected Win % is 27%, compared to a 42% actual win rate for identical index values.

Toulouse (Fact Index 1.92): Expected Win % is 52%, compared to a 29% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 42%
29%
AWAY : 29%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 41%
35%
Underdog : 24%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Auxerre : 22% (▼ 5%)
27% (▲ 6%)
Toulouse : 51% (▼ 1%)


Average Odds : 2.7 - 3.3 - 2.7
Auxerre : 35% (▲ 8%)
29% (▲ 8%)
Toulouse : 36% (▼ 16%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 47%
D : 13%
AWAY : 40%

Hometeam 2.7 = 2.7 Awayteam Trend:

HOME : 36%
D : 27%
AWAY : 37%

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