Gwangju

0 - 3

Pohang

Gwangju stuck in 3-game skid against Pohang. Conversely, Pohang Away Streak: 2 Games Unbeaten.

Sat, Jul 11, 2026 10:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 20%
D: 20%
Away: 60%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (4.55 - 4.76 - 1.75)
HOMETEAM: 22%
21%
AWAYTEAM: 57%

Gwangju (Fact Index 4.55): Expected Win % is 22%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.

Pohang (Fact Index 1.75): Expected Win % is 57%, compared to a 67% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 33%
0%
AWAY : 67%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 67%
0%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 2.5 (Model A.)
Gwangju : 20% (▼ 2%)
19% (▼ 2%)
Pohang : 61% (▲ 4%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Gwangju | 0.063 | 0.117 | ▲ 0.054
T | Pohang | 0.438 | 0.522 | ▲ 0.084
H | Gwangju | 0.125 | 0.233 | ▲ 0.108
A | Pohang | 0.500 | 0.565 | ▲ 0.065
P | Gwangju | 0.000 | 0.029 | ▲ 0.029
P | Pohang | 0.667 | 0.648 | ▼ 0.019
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Goals (xG) : 0.6 - 1.5 (Model B.4)
Gwangju : 18% (▼ 4%)
24% (▲ 3%)
Pohang : 58% (▲ 1%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 90.5%)


Average Odds : 5.9 - 3.7 - 1.6
Gwangju : 16% (▼ 6%)
25% (▲ 4%)
Pohang : 59% (▲ 2%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 0%
D : 30%
AWAY : 70%

Awayteam = 1.6 Trend:

HOME : 17%
D : 13%
AWAY : 70%

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