Fredrikstad

1 - 2

Bodo/Glimt

Bodo/Glimt dominance: Fredrikstad drop 2nd straight matchup. Conversely, Tactical Masterclass: Bodo/glimt reach 12 without dropping all points.

Fri, Sep 4, 2026 17:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 0%
Away: 100%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.13 - 6.25 - 1.92)
HOMETEAM: 32%
16%
AWAYTEAM: 52%

Weight: [Close] (26.67)
Intensity: [Fierce] (73.33)

Fredrikstad (Fact Index 3.13):
Expected Win % is 32%, compared to a 37% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Bodo/Glimt (Fact Index 1.92):
Expected Win % is 52%, compared to a 25% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 100% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Fredrikstad:
T : 0.444 (0.422 / ▲0.022)
H : 0.625 (0.602 / ▲0.023)
A : 0.300 (0.315 / ▼0.015)
P : 0.667 (0.550 / ▲0.117)

Bodo/Glimt:
T : 0.778 (0.828 / ▼0.050)
H : 0.889 (0.926 / ▼0.037)
A : 0.667 (0.697 / ▼0.030)
P : 1.000 (0.905 / ▲0.095)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
0%
AWAY : 100%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 8 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 37%
38%
AWAY : 25%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 7 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 57%
29%
Underdog : 14%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 0.8 - 1.7 (Model A.)
Fredrikstad : 25% (▼ 7%)
21% (▲ 5%)
Bodo/Glimt : 54% (▲ 2%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.9 - 0.7 (Model B.4)
Fredrikstad : 46% (▲ 14%)
23% (▲ 7%)
Bodo/Glimt : 31% (▼ 21%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 66.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 7.7 - 5.5 - 1.3
Fredrikstad : 12% (▼ 20%)
17% (▲ 1%)
Bodo/Glimt : 70% (▲ 18%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 2 game(s)

HOME : 0%
D : 0%
AWAY : 100%

Based on Away team = 1.3 (70%) Trend: 2 game(s)

HOME : 0%
D : 0%
AWAY : 100%


Football

Odds Trend: 7 game(s)

HOME : 0%
D : 14%
AWAY : 86%

Based on Away team = 1.3 (70%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 3%
D : 17%
AWAY : 80%


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