Manchester Utd

1 - 0

Newcastle

Fri, Dec 26, 2025 20:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 10%
Away: 60%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.03 - 4.35 - 2.27)
HOMETEAM: 33%
23%
AWAYTEAM: 44%

Manchester Utd (Fact Index 3.03): Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 54% actual win rate for identical index values.

Newcastle (Fact Index 2.27): Expected Win % is 44%, compared to a 13% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 54%
33%
AWAY : 13%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 43%
37%
Underdog : 20%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Manchester Utd : 42% (▲ 9%)
29% (▲ 6%)
Newcastle : 31% (▼ 13%)


Average Odds : 2.5 - 3.6 - 2.7
Manchester Utd : 38% (▲ 5%)
27% (▲ 4%)
Newcastle : 36% (▼ 8%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 50%
D : 25%
AWAY : 25%

Hometeam = 2.5 Trend:

HOME : 37%
D : 30%
AWAY : 33%

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