Newcastle

0 - 2

Aston Villa

Sun, Jan 25, 2026 14:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 10%
Away: 30%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.38 - 4.55 - 2.78)
HOMETEAM: 42%
22%
AWAYTEAM: 36%

Newcastle (Fact Index 2.38): Expected Win % is 42%, compared to a 45% actual win rate for identical index values.

Aston Villa (Fact Index 2.78): Expected Win % is 36%, compared to a 24% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 45%
31%
AWAY : 24%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
33%
Underdog : 17%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Newcastle : 59% (▲ 17%)
20% (▼ 2%)
Aston Villa : 22% (▼ 14%)


Average Odds : 2.0 - 3.7 - 3.7
Newcastle : 49% (▲ 7%)
26% (▲ 4%)
Aston Villa : 26% (▼ 10%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 35%
D : 29%
AWAY : 36%

Hometeam = 2.0 Trend:

HOME : 43%
D : 27%
AWAY : 30%

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