Aston Villa

4 - 3

Sunderland

Hard to Beat: Aston Villa mark 3 matches since last defeat.

Sun, Apr 19, 2026 13:00 (UTC)


Facts

Aston Villa :
Tammy Abraham 90' +3
Morgan Rogers 46'
Ollie Watkins 36', 2'
Sunderland :
Wilson Isidor 87'
Trai Hume 86'
Chris Rigg 9'
7 Goal THRILLER with a 93rd Minute WINNER! 🤯🔥 Aston Villa 4-3 Sunderland | HIGHLIGHTS
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 50%
Away: 0%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.63 - 3.70 - 2.86)
HOMETEAM: 38%
27%
AWAYTEAM: 35%

Aston Villa (Fact Index 2.63): Expected Win % is 38%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.

Sunderland (Fact Index 2.86): Expected Win % is 35%, compared to a 27% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 43%
30%
AWAY : 27%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 56%
24%
Underdog : 20%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Aston Villa : 34% (▼ 4%)
24% (▼ 3%)
Sunderland : 42% (▲ 7%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Aston Villa | 0.500 | 0.540 | ▲ 0.040
T | Sunderland | 0.375 | 0.472 | ▲ 0.097
H | Aston Villa | 0.625 | 0.635 | ▲ 0.010
A | Sunderland | 0.250 | 0.264 | ▲ 0.014
P | Aston Villa | 0.167 | 0.313 | ▲ 0.146
P | Sunderland | 0.500 | 0.500 | 0.000
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 1.7 - 3.8 - 5.3
Aston Villa : 57% (▲ 19%)
25% (▼ 2%)
Sunderland : 18% (▼ 17%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 30%
AWAY : 13%

Hometeam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 60%
D : 30%
AWAY : 10%

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