Inter-League

Chicago Fire

3 - 1

Vancouver

Chicago Fire: Unbeaten run extended to 2 fixtures.

Wed, Oct 7, 2026 00:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 75%
D: 0%
Away: 25%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.03 - 3.85 - 2.44)
HOMETEAM: 33%
26%
AWAYTEAM: 41%

Weight: [Close] (24.14)
Intensity: [Fierce] (75.86)

Chicago Fire (Fact Index 3.03):
Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 30% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 50% in this event.

Vancouver (Fact Index 2.44):
Expected Win % is 41%, compared to a 37% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 50% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Chicago Fire:
T : 0.462 (0.562 / ▼0.100)
H : 0.583 (0.643 / ▼0.060)
A : 0.357 (0.500 / ▼0.143)
P : 0.167 (0.408 / ▼0.241)

Vancouver:
T : 0.577 (0.744 / ▼0.167)
H : 0.600 (0.767 / ▼0.167)
A : 0.545 (0.711 / ▼0.166)
P : 0.500 (0.674 / ▼0.174)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
0%
Underdog : 100%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 30%
33%
AWAY : 37%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 47%
33%
Underdog : 20%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.1 - 1.8 (Model A.)
Chicago Fire : 28% (▼ 5%)
24% (▼ 2%)
Vancouver : 48% (▲ 7%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 2.3 - 1.6 (Model B.4)
Chicago Fire : 46% (▲ 13%)
23% (▼ 3%)
Vancouver : 31% (▼ 10%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 61.9%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.8 - 3.8 - 2.2
Chicago Fire : 34% (▲ 1%)
25% (▼ 1%)
Vancouver : 42% (▲ 1%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 3 game(s)

HOME : 33%
D : 67%
AWAY : 0%

Based on Away team = 2.2 (42%) Trend: 17 game(s)

HOME : 29%
D : 24%
AWAY : 47%


Football

Odds Trend: 5 game(s)

HOME : 20%
D : 40%
AWAY : 40%

Based on Away team = 2.2 (42%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 33%
D : 27%
AWAY : 40%


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