Monaco

1 - 3

Lyon

Sat, Jan 3, 2026 16:00 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.44 - 6.67 - 2.22)
HOMETEAM: 41%
15%
AWAYTEAM: 45%

Monaco (Fact Index 2.44): Expected Win % is 41%, compared to a 25% actual win rate for identical index values.

Lyon (Fact Index 2.22): Expected Win % is 45%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 25%
25%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
25%
Underdog : 25%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Monaco : 37% (▼ 4%)
25% (▲ 10%)
Lyon : 39% (▼ 6%)


Average Odds : 2.0 - 3.9 - 3.6
Monaco : 48% (▲ 7%)
25% (▲ 10%)
Lyon : 27% (▼ 18%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 47%
D : 23%
AWAY : 30%

Hometeam = 2.0 Trend:

HOME : 33%
D : 37%
AWAY : 30%

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