Liverpool

1 - 1

Tottenham

Liverpool remains rock solid in their last 2 home fixtures.

Sun, Mar 15, 2026 16:30 (UTC)


Facts

Liverpool :
Dominik Szoboszlai 18'
Tottenham :
Richarlison 90'
Highlights: Liverpool 1-1 Spurs | Another Szoboszlai Free-Kick
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 70%
D: 10%
Away: 20%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.59 - 7.14 - 4.35)
HOMETEAM: 63%
14%
AWAYTEAM: 23%

Liverpool (Fact Index 1.59): Expected Win % is 63%, compared to a 62% actual win rate for identical index values.

Tottenham (Fact Index 4.35): Expected Win % is 23%, compared to a 13% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 62%
25%
AWAY : 13%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
33%
Underdog : 17%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 2.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Liverpool : 65% (▲ 2%)
15% (▲ 1%)
Tottenham : 20% (▼ 3%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Liverpool | 0.483 | 0.567 | ▲ 0.084
T | Tottenham | 0.241 | 0.447 | ▲ 0.206
H | Liverpool | 0.571 | 0.653 | ▲ 0.082
A | Tottenham | 0.357 | 0.500 | ▲ 0.143
P | Liverpool | 0.667 | 0.691 | ▲ 0.024
P | Tottenham | 0.000 | 0.233 | ▲ 0.233
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Goals (xG) : 2.8 - 1.0 (Model B.4)
Liverpool : 73% (▲ 10%)
20% (▲ 6%)
Tottenham : 7% (▼ 16%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 95.2%)


Average Odds : 1.3 - 5.9 - 8.1
Liverpool : 72% (▲ 9%)
16% (▲ 2%)
Tottenham : 12% (▼ 11%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 64%
D : 24%
AWAY : 12%

Hometeam = 1.3 Trend:

HOME : 73%
D : 20%
AWAY : 7%

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