Gwangju

0 - 1

Bucheon

Losing Skid Hits 3 for Struggling Gwangju.

Sat, Apr 11, 2026 07:30 (UTC)


Facts

Bucheon :
Galego 54' (Jhon Montaño)
[AMBIENT SOUND] 2026 K LEAGUE 1 I R07 I Gwangju vs Bucheon I 15-Min Extended Highlights
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 56%
D: 0%
Away: 44%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.22 - 2.94 - 4.76)
HOMETEAM: 45%
34%
AWAYTEAM: 21%

Gwangju (Fact Index 2.22): Expected Win % is 45%, compared to a 46% actual win rate for identical index values.

Bucheon (Fact Index 4.76): Expected Win % is 21%, compared to a 31% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 46%
23%
AWAY : 31%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 37%
38%
Underdog : 25%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Gwangju : 40% (▼ 5%)
30% (▼ 4%)
Bucheon : 30% (▲ 9%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Gwangju | 0.167 | 0.212 | ▲ 0.045
T | Bucheon | 0.167 | 0.441 | ▲ 0.274
P | Gwangju | 0.167 | 0.212 | ▲ 0.045
P | Bucheon | 0.167 | 0.441 | ▲ 0.274
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Average Odds : 2.8 - 3.0 - 2.7
Gwangju : 34% (▼ 11%)
32% (▼ 2%)
Bucheon : 34% (▲ 13%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 33%
D : 37%
AWAY : 30%

Awayteam = 2.7 Trend:

HOME : 43%
D : 27%
AWAY : 30%

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