Getafe

1 - 1

Celta Vigo

Getafe Home Streak: 4 Games Without Defeat. Conversely, Road Warriors Celta Vigo: 5-Game Unbeaten Run Away.

Mon, Sep 7, 2026 17:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 40%
Away: 20%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.86 - 3.70 - 2.63)
HOMETEAM: 35%
27%
AWAYTEAM: 38%

Weight: [Close] (15.79)
Intensity: [Extreme] (84.21)

Getafe (Fact Index 2.86):
Expected Win % is 35%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 60% in this event.

Celta Vigo (Fact Index 2.63):
Expected Win % is 38%, compared to a 37% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

No Home team data available.

Celta Vigo:
T : 0.000 (0.142 / ▼0.142)
P : 0.000 (0.142 / ▼0.142)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 5 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 60%
40%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 3 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
67%
Underdog : 33%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 43%
20%
AWAY : 37%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 47%
20%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 0.9 - 0.9 (Model A.)
Getafe : 35% (-)
30% (▲ 3%)
Celta Vigo : 35% (▼ 3%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 0.9 - 0.7 (Model B.4)
Getafe : 37% (▲ 2%)
33% (▲ 6%)
Celta Vigo : 30% (▼ 8%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 71.4%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.6 - 2.9 - 3.1
Getafe : 36% (▲ 1%)
33% (▲ 6%)
Celta Vigo : 31% (▼ 7%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 2 game(s)

HOME : 0%
D : 100%
AWAY : 0%

Based on Home team = 2.6 (36%) Trend: 19 game(s)

HOME : 37%
D : 37%
AWAY : 26%


Football

Odds Trend: 26 game(s)

HOME : 62%
D : 23%
AWAY : 15%

Based on Home team = 2.6 (36%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 30%
AWAY : 30%


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