Elche

2 - 3

Real Sociedad

Elche Winless in 3 as Slump Continues. However, Solid: Real Sociedad haven't dropped all points in 3 outings.

Mon, Sep 7, 2026 19:30 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 0%
D: 11%
Away: 89%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.23 - 3.03 - 2.78)
HOMETEAM: 31%
33%
AWAYTEAM: 36%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (42.11)
Intensity: [Moderate] (57.89)

Elche (Fact Index 3.23):
Expected Win % is 31%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 34% in this event.

Real Sociedad (Fact Index 2.78):
Expected Win % is 36%, compared to a 45% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 33% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

No Home team data available.

Real Sociedad:
T : 0.250 (0.289 / ▼0.039)
P : 0.250 (0.289 / ▼0.039)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 3 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 34%
33%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 2 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
0%
Underdog : 50%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 27 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 33%
22%
AWAY : 45%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 21 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 52%
24%
Underdog : 24%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.3 - 1.4 (Model A.)
Elche : 33% (▲ 2%)
30% (▼ 3%)
Real Sociedad : 37% (▲ 1%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.7 - 1.1 (Model B.4)
Elche : 46% (▲ 15%)
23% (▼ 10%)
Real Sociedad : 31% (▼ 5%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 66.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.9 - 3.4 - 2.4
Elche : 33% (▲ 2%)
28% (▼ 5%)
Real Sociedad : 40% (▲ 4%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 1 game(s)

HOME : 0%
D : 0%
AWAY : 100%

Based on Away team = 2.4 (40%) Trend: 29 game(s)

HOME : 17%
D : 34%
AWAY : 49%


Football

Odds Trend: 16 game(s)

HOME : 25%
D : 25%
AWAY : 50%

Based on Away team = 2.4 (40%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 33%
D : 13%
AWAY : 54%


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