Aston Villa

1 - 4

Chelsea

Aston Villa Winless in 2 as Slump Continues.

Wed, Mar 4, 2026 19:30 (UTC)


Facts

Aston Villa :
Douglas Luiz 2'

Chelsea :
João Pedro 64', 45' +6, 35'
Cole Palmer 55'

Aston Villa 1-4 Chelsea | Premier League Highlights
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 20%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.50 - 3.70 - 3.03)
HOMETEAM: 40%
27%
AWAYTEAM: 33%

Aston Villa (Fact Index 2.50): Expected Win % is 40%, compared to a 66% actual win rate for identical index values.

Chelsea (Fact Index 3.03): Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 17% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 66%
17%
AWAY : 17%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 66%
19%
Underdog : 15%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Aston Villa : 26% (▼ 14%)
25% (▼ 2%)
Chelsea : 49% (▲ 16%)


Average Odds : 2.7 - 3.6 - 2.5
Aston Villa : 35% (▼ 5%)
27% (-)
Chelsea : 38% (▲ 5%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 23%
D : 27%
AWAY : 50%

Awayteam = 2.5 Trend:

HOME : 27%
D : 36%
AWAY : 37%

© 2020 - 2026 | Waveflow SportsLab | Terms of Use · Privacy Policy | All Rights Reserved.

©2026 Waveflow SportsLab
Terms of Use | Privacy Policy