Brest

2 - 0

Marseille

Milestone: Brest hit 4 matches without a loss. Meanwhile, Marseille Away Woes Continue: 2nd Straight Loss.

Fri, Feb 20, 2026 19:45 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 10%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.03 - 5.26 - 2.08)
HOMETEAM: 33%
19%
AWAYTEAM: 48%

Brest (Fact Index 3.03): Expected Win % is 33%, compared to a 19% actual win rate for identical index values.

Marseille (Fact Index 2.08): Expected Win % is 48%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 19%
38%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 39%
23%
Underdog : 38%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 2.5 (Model A.)
Brest : 29% (▼ 4%)
18% (▼ 1%)
Marseille : 53% (▲ 5%)


Average Odds : 3.8 - 3.7 - 2.0
Brest : 25% (▼ 8%)
26% (▲ 7%)
Marseille : 49% (▲ 1%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 23%
D : 27%
AWAY : 50%

Awayteam = 2.0 Trend:

HOME : 23%
D : 13%
AWAY : 64%

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