Nice

3 - 3

Lorient

4 home matches, 4 ties: Nice continues the deadlock. Meanwhile, Milestone: Lorient hit 2 matches without a loss.

Sun, Feb 22, 2026 16:15 (UTC)


Facts

Score Line :
2-1, 1-2
Nice :
Kaïl Boudache 59'
Tom Louchet 45' +1, 12'
Lorient :
Noah Cadiou 90' +5
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng 67' (Pen.)
Pablo Pagis 45' +4
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 50%
Away: 20%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.23 - 3.13 - 2.70)
HOMETEAM: 31%
32%
AWAYTEAM: 37%

Nice (Fact Index 3.23): Expected Win % is 31%, compared to a 27% actual win rate for identical index values.

Lorient (Fact Index 2.70): Expected Win % is 37%, compared to a 37% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 27%
36%
AWAY : 37%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 27%
40%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Nice : 34% (▲ 3%)
29% (▼ 3%)
Lorient : 37% (-)


Average Odds : 2.1 - 3.5 - 3.4
Nice : 45% (▲ 14%)
27% (▼ 5%)
Lorient : 28% (▼ 9%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 40%
D : 23%
AWAY : 37%

Hometeam = 2.1 Trend:

HOME : 33%
D : 40%
AWAY : 27%

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