Gwangju

3 - 2

Incheon Utd

4 Unbeaten for Gwangju FC in Front of Home Fans. Meanwhile, Incheon Utd Stuck in 2 Competition Slump.

Sat, Mar 7, 2026 07:30 (UTC)


Facts

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FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 20%
D: 30%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.70 - 3.33 - 2.33)
HOMETEAM: 27%
30%
AWAYTEAM: 43%

Gwangju (Fact Index 3.70):
Expected Win % is 27%, compared to a 25% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 100% in this event.

Incheon Utd (Fact Index 2.33):
Expected Win % is 43%, compared to a 44% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 100%
0%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 100%
0%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 16 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 25%
31%
AWAY : 44%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 14 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
29%
Underdog : 21%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 1.5 (Model A.)
Gwangju : 27% (-)
28% (▼ 2%)
Incheon Utd : 45% (▲ 2%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 0.9 - 1.0 (Model B.3)
Gwangju : 31% (▲ 4%)
29% (▼ 1%)
Incheon Utd : 40% (▼ 3%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.3 / Data Completion Rate : 76.2%)


Average Odds : 2.4 - 3.0 - 3.1
Gwangju : 39% (▲ 12%)
31% (▲ 1%)
Incheon Utd : 30% (▼ 13%)

Data Source: Oddsportal
Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.

Odds Trend: 2 game(s)
HOME : 100%
D : 0%
AWAY : 0%
* in this Competition.

Based on Home team = 2.4 Trend: 30 game(s)
HOME : 37%
D : 33%
AWAY : 30%


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