Gwangju

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Daejeon Hana

Gwangju Winless in 7 as Slump Continues. Meanwhile, Daejeon Hana Away Streak: 3 Games Unbeaten.

Sat, May 2, 2026 10:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 40%
Away: 30%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (4.17 - 3.85 - 2.00)
HOMETEAM: 24%
26%
AWAYTEAM: 50%

Gwangju (Fact Index 4.17): Expected Win % is 24%, compared to a 25% actual win rate for identical index values.

Daejeon Hana (Fact Index 2.00): Expected Win % is 50%, compared to a 55% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 25%
20%
AWAY : 55%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 60%
27%
Underdog : 13%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 2.0 (Model A.)
Gwangju : 27% (▲ 3%)
23% (▼ 3%)
Daejeon Hana : 50% (-)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Gwangju | 0.100 | 0.176 | ▲ 0.076
T | Daejeon Hana | 0.300 | 0.534 | ▲ 0.234
H | Gwangju | 0.250 | 0.352 | ▲ 0.102
A | Daejeon Hana | 0.600 | 0.742 | ▲ 0.142
P | Gwangju | 0.000 | 0.078 | ▲ 0.078
P | Daejeon Hana | 0.333 | 0.441 | ▲ 0.108
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.0 - 1.7 (Model B.4)
Gwangju : 29% (▲ 5%)
25% (▼ 1%)
Daejeon Hana : 46% (▼ 4%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 95.2%)


Average Odds : 4.4 - 3.5 - 1.8
Gwangju : 21% (▼ 3%)
27% (▲ 1%)
Daejeon Hana : 52% (▲ 2%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 20%
D : 17%
AWAY : 63%

Awayteam = 1.8 Trend:

HOME : 17%
D : 23%
AWAY : 60%

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