Manchester City

2 - 2

Nottingham

14 Unbeaten for Manchester City in Front of Home Fans.

Wed, Mar 4, 2026 19:30 (UTC)


Facts

Manchester City :
Rodri 62'
Antoine Semenyo 31'

Nottingham :
Elliot Anderson 76'
Morgan Gibbs-White 56'

EXTENDED HIGHLIGHTS | Man City 2-2 Nottingham Forest | Semenyo & Rodri goals in frustrating draw!
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 67%
D: 22%
Away: 11%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.47 - 6.67 - 5.88)
HOMETEAM: 68%
15%
AWAYTEAM: 17%

Manchester City (Fact Index 1.47): Expected Win % is 68%, compared to a 67% actual win rate for identical index values.

Nottingham (Fact Index 5.88): Expected Win % is 17%, compared to a 0% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 67%
33%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
50%
Underdog : 0%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 3.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Manchester City : 76% (▲ 8%)
13% (▼ 2%)
Nottingham : 11% (▼ 6%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.6 - 0.6 (Model B.3)
Manchester City : 69% (▲ 1%)
18% (▲ 3%)
Nottingham : 13% (▼ 4%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.3 / Data Completion Rate : 95.2%)


Average Odds : 1.4 - 5.2 - 7.6
Manchester City : 69% (▲ 1%)
18% (▲ 3%)
Nottingham : 13% (▼ 4%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 83%
D : 17%
AWAY : 0%

Hometeam = 1.4 Trend:

HOME : 63%
D : 17%
AWAY : 20%

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