Santos

1 - 1

Corinthians

Santos FC remains rock solid in their last 8 home fixtures. However, Unbeaten on the Road: Corinthians Run Hits 3.

Sun, Mar 15, 2026 19:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 14%
D: 43%
Away: 43%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (3.13 - 3.13 - 2.78)
HOMETEAM: 32%
32%
AWAYTEAM: 36%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (42.11)
Intensity: [Moderate] (57.89)

Santos (Fact Index 3.13):
Expected Win % is 32%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 0% in this event.

Corinthians (Fact Index 2.78):
Expected Win % is 36%, compared to a 30% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 0% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Santos:
T : 0.200 (0.428 / ▼0.228)
P : 0.200 (0.428 / ▼0.228)

Corinthians:
T : 0.400 (0.500 / ▼0.100)
P : 0.400 (0.500 / ▼0.100)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 0%
100%
AWAY : 0%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 1 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 0%
100%
Underdog : 0%


Football

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 40%
30%
AWAY : 30%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 29 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 55%
31%
Underdog : 14%

PREDICTION
Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.0 (Model A.)
Santos : 40% (▲ 8%)
29% (▼ 3%)
Corinthians : 31% (▼ 5%)

Expected Goals (xG) : 1.5 - 1.4 (Model B.4)
Santos : 46% (▲ 14%)
23% (▼ 9%)
Corinthians : 31% (▼ 5%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 66.7%

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 2.2 - 3.0 - 3.6
Santos : 42% (▲ 10%)
32% (-)
Corinthians : 26% (▼ 10%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 3 game(s)

HOME : 67%
D : 33%
AWAY : 0%

Based on Home team = 2.2 (42%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 64%
D : 13%
AWAY : 23%


Football

Odds Trend: 25 game(s)

HOME : 48%
D : 32%
AWAY : 20%

Based on Home team = 2.2 (42%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 23%
AWAY : 27%


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