Detroit Tigers

0 - 4

Boston Red Sox

Detroit Tigers stuck in 4-game skid against Boston Red Sox. However, Boston Red Sox Rolling: 3 Straight Wins.

Wed, May 6, 2026 22:40 (UTC)


Facts

Detroit Tigers :
J. Flaherty (SP, L, 0-3, 5.56) 5.0, 3H, 4R, 2ER, 1BB, 10K
2B: Greene (10, Gray)
Boston Red Sox :
S. Gray (SP, W, 3-1, 3.54) 5.0, 4H, 2BB, 2K
2B: Durbin (7, Flaherty)
RBI: Contreras (23), Durbin (13)
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 0%
Away: 70%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.00 - 2.00)
HOMETEAM: 50%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 50%

Due to a lack of data in the early stages of the competition, default index values may be applied. Please refer to each team's number of games played.

Detroit Tigers (Fact Index 2.00): Expected Win % is 50%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.

Boston Red Sox (Fact Index 2.00): Expected Win % is 50%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 57%
0%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 43%
7%
Underdog : 50%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 6.5 - 6.6 (Model A.)
Detroit Tigers : 50% (-)
0% (-)
Boston Red Sox : 50% (-)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Detroit Tigers | 0.486 | 0.529 | ▲ 0.043
T | Boston Red Sox | 0.417 | 0.467 | ▲ 0.050
H | Detroit Tigers | 0.706 | 0.620 | ▼ 0.086
A | Boston Red Sox | 0.450 | 0.505 | ▲ 0.055
P | Detroit Tigers | 0.500 | 0.570 | ▲ 0.070
P | Boston Red Sox | 0.500 | 0.462 | ▼ 0.038
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.2 - 4.0 (Model B.4)
Detroit Tigers : 56% (▲ 6%)
0% (-)
Boston Red Sox : 44% (▼ 6%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.8 - 2.0
Detroit Tigers : 52% (▲ 2%)
0% (-)
Boston Red Sox : 48% (▼ 2%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 63%
D : 0%
AWAY : 37%

Hometeam = 1.8 Trend:

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%

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