Inter-League

Pittsburgh Pirates

6 - 5

Kansas City Royals

Pittsburgh Pirates turns their stadium into a fortress with 3 straight home wins. However, A 3-game losing skid is plaguing Kansas City Royals.

Sat, Sep 19, 2026 22:40 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.96 - 2.04)
HOMETEAM: 51%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 49%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (44.83)
Intensity: [Moderate] (55.17)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Fact Index 1.96):
Expected Win % is 51%, compared to a 73% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 73% in this event.

Kansas City Royals (Fact Index 2.04):
Expected Win % is 49%, compared to a 27% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 27% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Pittsburgh Pirates:
T : 0.500 (0.517 / ▼0.017)
H : 0.526 (0.526 / -)
A : 0.474 (0.507 / ▼0.033)
P : 0.500 (0.517 / ▼0.017)

Kansas City Royals:
T : 0.435 (0.435 / -)
H : 0.520 (0.505 / ▲0.015)
A : 0.354 (0.361 / ▼0.007)
P : 0.167 (0.252 / ▼0.085)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 73%
0%
AWAY : 27%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 46%
7%
Underdog : 47%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 73%
0%
AWAY : 27%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 46%
7%
Underdog : 47%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 3.6 - 3.7 (Model A.)
Pittsburgh Pirates : 50% (▼ 1%)
0% (-)
Kansas City Royals : 50% (▲ 1%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.2 - 4.3 (Model B.4)
Pittsburgh Pirates : 47% (▼ 4%)
0% (-)
Kansas City Royals : 53% (▲ 4%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 81%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.9 - 2.0
Pittsburgh Pirates : 51% (-)
0% (-)
Kansas City Royals : 48% (▼ 1%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 0%
AWAY : 40%

Based on Home team = 1.9 (51%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%

Based on Home team = 1.9 (51%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


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