St. Louis Cardinals

5 - 6

Philadelphia Phillies

St.louis Cardinals dominates at home, making it 2 consecutive home victories.

Mon, Aug 10, 2026 23:45 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.82 - 2.22)
HOMETEAM: 55%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 45%

Weight: [Close] (20.69)
Intensity: [Fierce] (79.31)

St. Louis Cardinals (Fact Index 1.82):
Expected Win % is 55%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 53% in this event.

Philadelphia Phillies (Fact Index 2.22):
Expected Win % is 45%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 47% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

St. Louis Cardinals:
T : 0.500 (0.493 / ▲0.007)
H : 0.476 (0.419 / ▲0.057)
A : 0.527 (0.566 / ▼0.039)
P : 0.667 (0.629 / ▲0.038)

Philadelphia Phillies:
T : 0.529 (0.500 / ▲0.029)
H : 0.516 (0.512 / ▲0.004)
A : 0.544 (0.484 / ▲0.060)
P : 0.500 (0.515 / ▼0.015)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 53%
0%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 57%
3%
Underdog : 40%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 53%
0%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 57%
3%
Underdog : 40%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 3.7 - 4.1 (Model A.)
St. Louis Cardinals : 50% (▼ 5%)
0% (-)
Philadelphia Phillies : 50% (▲ 5%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 5.1 - 4.2 (Model B.4)
St. Louis Cardinals : 56% (▲ 1%)
0% (-)
Philadelphia Phillies : 44% (▼ 1%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 85.7%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.9 - 1.9
St. Louis Cardinals : 50% (▼ 5%)
0% (-)
Philadelphia Phillies : 50% (▲ 5%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 0%
AWAY : 60%

Based on Home team 1.9 = 1.9 Awayteam = 50% Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 0%
AWAY : 60%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 54%
D : 3%
AWAY : 43%

Based on Home team 1.9 = 1.9 Awayteam = 50% Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 54%
D : 3%
AWAY : 43%


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