Rakuten Gold. Eagles

0 - 1

Nippon Ham Fighters

Wed, Apr 8, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


Facts

Rakuten Gold. Eagles :
Koja Tatsuki (SP, L, 0-2, 3.77) 9.0, 1H, 1HR, 6K, 1BB, 1R, 1ER
Nippon Ham Fighters :
Kitayama Koki (SP, W 1-1, 2.63) 8.0, 3H, 10K, 1BB
Yanagawa Taisei (2S, 0.00)
HR: Castro Rodolfo (2, 4th, 1R)
RBI: Castro Rodolfo
Koki Kitayama: 8 IP, 10 K, 0 R! Dominant Performance for First Win of the Season
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.54 - 3.13)
HOMETEAM: 65%
3%
AWAYTEAM: 32%

Rakuten Gold. Eagles (Fact Index 1.54): Expected Win % is 65%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.

Nippon Ham Fighters (Fact Index 3.13): Expected Win % is 32%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 43%
14%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 72%
14%
Underdog : 14%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.1 - 4.0 (Model A.)
Rakuten Gold. Eagles : 53% (▼ 12%)
0% (▼ 3%)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 47% (▲ 15%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 0.556 | 0.557 | ▲ 0.001
T | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.500 | 0.699 | ▲ 0.199
H | Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 0.500 | 0.391 | ▼ 0.109
A | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.000 | 0.260 | ▲ 0.260
P | Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 0.800 | 0.583 | ▼ 0.217
P | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.667 | 0.807 | ▲ 0.140
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.3 - 3.1 (Model B.4)
Rakuten Gold. Eagles : 57% (▼ 8%)
0% (▼ 3%)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 43% (▲ 11%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.4 - 2.8
Rakuten Gold. Eagles : 66% (▲ 1%)
0% (▼ 3%)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 34% (▲ 2%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 63%
D : 0%
AWAY : 37%

Hometeam = 1.4 Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 3%
AWAY : 40%

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