Inter-League

Philadelphia Phillies

0 - 2

Tampa Bay Rays

Losing Skid Hits 3 for Struggling Philadelphia Phillies.

Fri, Sep 25, 2026 22:40 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 80%
D: 0%
Away: 20%

Home team Side

Away team Side

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.67 - 2.50)
HOMETEAM: 60%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 40%

Weight: [Close] (17.24)
Intensity: [Extreme] (82.76)

Philadelphia Phillies (Fact Index 1.67):
Expected Win % is 60%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 50% in this event.

Tampa Bay Rays (Fact Index 2.50):
Expected Win % is 40%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 50% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Philadelphia Phillies:
T : 0.541 (0.515 / ▲0.026)
H : 0.538 (0.527 / ▲0.011)
A : 0.543 (0.500 / ▲0.043)
P : 0.333 (0.329 / ▲0.004)

Tampa Bay Rays:
T : 0.604 (0.553 / ▲0.051)
H : 0.679 (0.567 / ▲0.112)
A : 0.526 (0.539 / ▼0.013)
P : 0.500 (0.477 / ▲0.023)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 47%
0%
Underdog : 53%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
0%
Underdog : 50%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.2 - 3.8 (Model A.)
Philadelphia Phillies : 56% (▼ 4%)
0% (-)
Tampa Bay Rays : 44% (▲ 4%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.2 - 4.6 (Model B.4)
Philadelphia Phillies : 46% (▼ 14%)
0% (-)
Tampa Bay Rays : 54% (▲ 14%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 71.4%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.6 - 2.4
Philadelphia Phillies : 60% (-)
0% (-)
Tampa Bay Rays : 40% (-)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 63%
D : 0%
AWAY : 37%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (60%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 63%
D : 0%
AWAY : 37%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (60%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 67%
D : 0%
AWAY : 33%


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