Toronto Blue Jays

5 - 6

Detroit Tigers

Detroit Tigers Extend Hot Streak to 5 Games.

Mon, Sep 14, 2026 23:07 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.96 - 2.04)
HOMETEAM: 51%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 49%

Weight: [Close] (13.79)
Intensity: [Extreme] (86.21)

Toronto Blue Jays (Fact Index 1.96):
Expected Win % is 51%, compared to a 73% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 73% in this event.

Detroit Tigers (Fact Index 2.04):
Expected Win % is 49%, compared to a 27% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 27% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Toronto Blue Jays:
T : 0.497 (0.474 / ▲0.023)
H : 0.520 (0.465 / ▲0.055)
A : 0.474 (0.483 / ▼0.009)
P : 0.500 (0.629 / ▼0.129)

Detroit Tigers:
T : 0.470 (0.551 / ▼0.081)
H : 0.520 (0.576 / ▼0.056)
A : 0.419 (0.527 / ▼0.108)
P : 0.833 (0.789 / ▲0.044)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 73%
0%
AWAY : 27%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 46%
7%
Underdog : 47%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 73%
0%
AWAY : 27%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 46%
7%
Underdog : 47%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.2 - 3.9 (Model A.)
Toronto Blue Jays : 57% (▲ 6%)
0% (-)
Detroit Tigers : 43% (▼ 6%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.9 - 3.6 (Model B.4)
Toronto Blue Jays : 60% (▲ 9%)
0% (-)
Detroit Tigers : 40% (▼ 9%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.7 - 2.1
Toronto Blue Jays : 55% (▲ 4%)
0% (-)
Detroit Tigers : 45% (▼ 4%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (55%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 67%
D : 0%
AWAY : 33%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (55%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


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