Inter-League

Houston Astros

3 - 6

Atlanta Braves

Houston Astros are in a 3-Game Slump Against Atlanta Braves. Meanwhile, Atlanta Braves on Fire: 2-Game Winning Streak.

Sat, Sep 19, 2026 23:10 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 30%
D: 0%
Away: 70%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.13 - 1.89)
HOMETEAM: 47%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 53%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (31.03)
Intensity: [Fierce] (68.97)

Houston Astros (Fact Index 2.13):
Expected Win % is 47%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 40% in this event.

Atlanta Braves (Fact Index 1.89):
Expected Win % is 53%, compared to a 60% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 60% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Houston Astros:
T : 0.500 (0.465 / ▲0.035)
H : 0.494 (0.466 / ▲0.028)
A : 0.507 (0.464 / ▲0.043)
P : 0.333 (0.297 / ▲0.036)

Atlanta Braves:
T : 0.584 (0.580 / ▲0.004)
H : 0.654 (0.600 / ▲0.054)
A : 0.513 (0.558 / ▼0.045)
P : 0.500 (0.555 / ▼0.055)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 40%
0%
AWAY : 60%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
7%
Underdog : 40%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 40%
0%
AWAY : 60%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 53%
7%
Underdog : 40%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 3.5 - 3.8 (Model A.)
Houston Astros : 47% (-)
0% (-)
Atlanta Braves : 53% (-)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.3 - 4.7 (Model B.4)
Houston Astros : 47% (-)
0% (-)
Atlanta Braves : 53% (-)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 81%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.8 - 2.0
Houston Astros : 52% (▲ 5%)
0% (-)
Atlanta Braves : 48% (▼ 5%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (52%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (52%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%


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