Inter-League

Philadelphia Phillies

6 - 3

Athletics

Defending the Turf: Philadelphia Phillies Wins 5th in a Row. However, Losing Skid Hits 2 for Struggling Athletics.

Wed, May 6, 2026 22:40 (UTC)


Facts

Philadelphia Phillies :
Z. Wheeler (SP, 3.12) 6.1, 5H, 3R, 3ER, 1BB, 4K, 1HR
O. Kerkering (W, 1-0, 2.08, 0.1)
B. Keller (S, 3, 4.02, 1.0)
2B: Schwarber (7, Springs)
3B: Marsh (1, Springs)
HR: García (4, 6th inning off Springs 0 on, 1 Out)
RBI: Sosa 2 (10), García (13), Marsh (19), Reyes (2), Crawford (8)
Athletics :
J. Springs (SP, 3.89) 5.1, 8H 2R, 2ER, 4K, 1HR
J. Sterner (H, 6, 4.42, 0.2)
J. Perkins (L, 2-1, B, 3.68, 1.1, 4R, 2ER)
2B: Rooker (1, Wheeler); Gelof (2, Wheeler)
HR: Soderstrom (5, 6th inning off Wheeler 0 on, 0 Out)
RBI: Soderstrom (20), Wilson (16), Kurtz (17)
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.75 - 2.33)
HOMETEAM: 57%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 43%

Philadelphia Phillies (Fact Index 1.75): Expected Win % is 57%, compared to a 67% actual win rate for identical index values.

Athletics (Fact Index 2.33): Expected Win % is 43%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 67%
0%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 64%
3%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.0 - 5.4 (Model A.)
Philadelphia Phillies : 51% (▼ 6%)
0% (-)
Athletics : 49% (▲ 6%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Philadelphia Phillies | 0.444 | 0.402 | ▼ 0.042
T | Athletics | 0.514 | 0.448 | ▼ 0.066
H | Philadelphia Phillies | 0.474 | 0.405 | ▼ 0.069
A | Athletics | 0.526 | 0.520 | ▼ 0.006
P | Philadelphia Phillies | 0.833 | 0.727 | ▼ 0.106
P | Athletics | 0.500 | 0.405 | ▼ 0.095
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 5.4 - 4.2 (Model B.4)
Philadelphia Phillies : 59% (▲ 2%)
0% (-)
Athletics : 41% (▼ 2%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.6 - 2.4
Philadelphia Phillies : 61% (▲ 4%)
0% (-)
Athletics : 39% (▼ 4%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 3%
AWAY : 40%

Hometeam = 1.6 Trend:

HOME : 60%
D : 3%
AWAY : 37%

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