Nippon Ham Fighters

3 - 6

Seibu Lions

Sun, May 17, 2026 04:00 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.13 - 1.89)
HOMETEAM: 47%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 53%

Nippon Ham Fighters (Fact Index 2.13): Expected Win % is 47%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.

Seibu Lions (Fact Index 1.89): Expected Win % is 53%, compared to a 60% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 40%
0%
AWAY : 60%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 67%
3%
Underdog : 30%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.0 - 5.5 (Model A.)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 47% (-)
0% (-)
Seibu Lions : 53% (-)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.488 | 0.543 | ▲ 0.055
T | Seibu Lions | 0.561 | 0.573 | ▲ 0.012
H | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.579 | 0.593 | ▲ 0.014
A | Seibu Lions | 0.571 | 0.523 | ▼ 0.048
P | Nippon Ham Fighters | 0.667 | 0.578 | ▼ 0.089
P | Seibu Lions | 0.833 | 0.858 | ▲ 0.025
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 2.2 - 3.7 (Model B.4)
Nippon Ham Fighters : 30% (▼ 17%)
0% (-)
Seibu Lions : 70% (▲ 17%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.6 - 2.3
Nippon Ham Fighters : 59% (▲ 12%)
0% (-)
Seibu Lions : 41% (▼ 12%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%

Hometeam = 1.6 Trend:

HOME : 60%
D : 3%
AWAY : 37%

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