Houston Astros

6 - 2

Kansas City Royals

Thu, Sep 17, 2026 23:15 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 70%
D: 0%
Away: 30%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.85 - 2.17)
HOMETEAM: 54%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 46%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (44.83)
Intensity: [Moderate] (55.17)

Houston Astros (Fact Index 1.85):
Expected Win % is 54%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 43% in this event.

Kansas City Royals (Fact Index 2.17):
Expected Win % is 46%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 57% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Houston Astros:
T : 0.500 (0.465 / ▲0.035)
H : 0.494 (0.465 / ▲0.029)
A : 0.507 (0.464 / ▲0.043)
P : 0.333 (0.242 / ▲0.091)

Kansas City Royals:
T : 0.441 (0.438 / ▲0.003)
H : 0.520 (0.505 / ▲0.015)
A : 0.364 (0.366 / ▼0.002)
P : 0.500 (0.449 / ▲0.051)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 43%
0%
AWAY : 57%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
0%
Underdog : 50%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 43%
0%
AWAY : 57%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
0%
Underdog : 50%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 3.7 - 3.0 (Model A.)
Houston Astros : 57% (▲ 3%)
0% (-)
Kansas City Royals : 43% (▼ 3%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.9 - 4.0 (Model B.4)
Houston Astros : 51% (▼ 3%)
0% (-)
Kansas City Royals : 49% (▲ 3%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.7 - 2.2
Houston Astros : 57% (▲ 3%)
0% (-)
Kansas City Royals : 43% (▼ 3%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (57%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 43%
D : 0%
AWAY : 57%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 40%
D : 3%
AWAY : 57%

Based on Home team = 1.7 (57%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 37%
D : 3%
AWAY : 60%


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