New York Mets

10 - 3

Philadelphia Phillies

Defending the Turf: New York Mets Wins 2nd in a Row. Conversely, Philadelphia Phillies Form has dropped with a 2-match slump.

Sat, Sep 19, 2026 20:10 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home team Side

Away team Side

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.33 - 1.75)
HOMETEAM: 43%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 57%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (58.62)
Intensity: [Moderate] (41.38)

New York Mets (Fact Index 2.33):
Expected Win % is 43%, compared to a 63% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 63% in this event.

Philadelphia Phillies (Fact Index 1.75):
Expected Win % is 57%, compared to a 37% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 37% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

New York Mets:
T : 0.455 (0.470 / ▼0.015)
H : 0.443 (0.452 / ▼0.009)
A : 0.467 (0.489 / ▼0.022)
P : 0.167 (0.246 / ▼0.079)

Philadelphia Phillies:
T : 0.545 (0.520 / ▲0.025)
H : 0.547 (0.535 / ▲0.012)
A : 0.544 (0.503 / ▲0.041)
P : 0.500 (0.411 / ▲0.089)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 63%
0%
AWAY : 37%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 57%
0%
Underdog : 43%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 63%
0%
AWAY : 37%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
3%
Underdog : 47%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.4 - 4.0 (Model A.)
New York Mets : 49% (▲ 6%)
0% (-)
Philadelphia Phillies : 51% (▼ 6%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.0 - 3.3 (Model B.4)
New York Mets : 54% (▲ 11%)
0% (-)
Philadelphia Phillies : 46% (▼ 11%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.8 - 2.0
New York Mets : 53% (▲ 10%)
0% (-)
Philadelphia Phillies : 47% (▼ 10%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 63%
D : 0%
AWAY : 37%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (53%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (53%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%


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