Tampa Bay Rays

3 - 0

Toronto Blue Jays

Tampa Bay Rays dominates at home, making it 10 consecutive home victories. Meanwhile, Toronto Blue Jays are stuck in a 4-game winless Rut.

Wed, May 6, 2026 17:10 (UTC)

Facts

  • Tampa Bay Rays dominates at home, making it 10 consecutive home victories.
  • Tampa Bay Rays Rolling: 6 Straight Wins.
  • Toronto Blue Jays are stuck in a 4-game winless Rut.
  • Away Nightmare Continues for Winless Toronto Blue Jays.
  • No stopping Tampa Bay Rays as they notch 3 straight wins over Toronto Blue Jays.

    • Tampa Bay Rays :
    S. McClanahan (SP, W, 4-2, 2.60) 5.2, 2H, 1BB, 4K
    K. Kelly (H, 6, 3.45), G. Cleavinger (H, 4, 4.91), B. Baker (H, 2.45)
    I. Seymour (S, 5.09)
    2B: DeLuca (7, Corbin)
    RBI: Simpson (8), DeLuca (14)
    Toronto Blue Jays :
    P. Corbin (SP, L, 1-1, 3.60), 5.1, 5H, 2R, 2ER, 2BB, 1K
    2B: Straw (3, McClanahan); Okamoto (3, McClanahan)
    FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
    HEAD TO HEAD

    Last 10 games

    Home: 50%
    D: 0%
    Away: 50%

    Home vs Away

    Away vs Home

    Neutral

    These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

    FACT INDEX (1.56 - 2.78)
    HOMETEAM: 64%
    0%
    AWAYTEAM: 36%

    Tampa Bay Rays (Fact Index 1.56): Expected Win % is 64%, compared to a 63% actual win rate for identical index values.

    Toronto Blue Jays (Fact Index 2.78): Expected Win % is 36%, compared to a 37% actual win rate for identical index values.

    Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

    HOME : 63%
    0%
    AWAY : 37%

    The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

    Favorite : 53%
    0%
    Underdog : 47%

    PREDICTION
    Expected Runs (xR) : 4.5 - 4.0 (Model A.)
    Tampa Bay Rays : 61% (▼ 3%)
    0% (-)
    Toronto Blue Jays : 39% (▲ 3%)

    |Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
    T | Tampa Bay Rays | 0.657 | 0.537 | ▼ 0.120
    T | Toronto Blue Jays | 0.444 | 0.445 | ▲ 0.001
    H | Tampa Bay Rays | 0.765 | 0.589 | ▼ 0.176
    A | Toronto Blue Jays | 0.333 | 0.451 | ▲ 0.118
    P | Tampa Bay Rays | 0.833 | 0.812 | ▼ 0.021
    P | Toronto Blue Jays | 0.333 | 0.483 | ▲ 0.150
    T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

    Expected Runs (xR) : 3.9 - 3.2 (Model B.4)
    Tampa Bay Rays : 55% (▼ 9%)
    0% (-)
    Toronto Blue Jays : 45% (▲ 9%)

    Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)

    Average Odds : 1.7 - 2.1
    Tampa Bay Rays : 55% (▼ 9%)
    0% (-)
    Toronto Blue Jays : 45% (▲ 9%)

    Odds Trend:

    HOME : 57%
    D : 0%
    AWAY : 43%

    Hometeam = 1.7 Trend:

    HOME : 50%
    D : 3%
    AWAY : 47%

    Tampa Bay Rays

    Last 3:
    MLB 2026-05-08 Boston Red Sox 2 - 0 Tampa Bay Rays
    MLB 2026-05-07 Boston Red Sox 4 - 8 Tampa Bay Rays
    MLB 2026-05-05 Tampa Bay Rays 4 - 3 Toronto Blue Jays

    Next 3:
    MLB 2026-05-10 Boston Red Sox - Tampa Bay Rays
    MLB 2026-05-11 Toronto Blue Jays - Tampa Bay Rays
    MLB 2026-05-12 Toronto Blue Jays - Tampa Bay Rays

    Last 20 games

    HOME :

    AWAY :

    Toronto Blue Jays

    Last 3:
    MLB 2026-05-09 Toronto Blue Jays 14 - 1 LA Angels
    MLB 2026-05-08 Toronto Blue Jays 2 - 0 LA Angels
    MLB 2026-05-05 Tampa Bay Rays 4 - 3 Toronto Blue Jays

    Next 3:
    MLB 2026-05-10 Toronto Blue Jays - LA Angels
    MLB 2026-05-11 Toronto Blue Jays - Tampa Bay Rays
    MLB 2026-05-12 Toronto Blue Jays - Tampa Bay Rays

    Last 20 games

    HOME :

    AWAY :

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