Chunichi Dragons

4 - 1

Yakult Swallows

Fortress: Chunichi Dragons Wins 3rd Straight at Home. Meanwhile, Yakult Swallows Away Woes Continue: 7th Straight Loss.

Wed, Aug 5, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home team Side

Away team Side

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.85 - 2.17)
HOMETEAM: 54%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 46%

Weight: [Close] (27.27)
Intensity: [Fierce] (72.73)

Chunichi Dragons (Fact Index 1.85):
Expected Win % is 54%, compared to a 60% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 60% in this event.

Yakult Swallows (Fact Index 2.17):
Expected Win % is 46%, compared to a 40% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 37% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Chunichi Dragons:
T : 0.412 (0.486 / ▼0.074)
H : 0.510 (0.529 / ▼0.019)
A : 0.304 (0.442 / ▼0.138)
P : 0.500 (0.574 / ▼0.074)

Yakult Swallows:
T : 0.463 (0.408 / ▲0.055)
H : 0.426 (0.372 / ▲0.054)
A : 0.500 (0.456 / ▲0.044)
P : 0.167 (0.347 / ▼0.180)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 60%
3%
AWAY : 37%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 23 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 48%
9%
Underdog : 43%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 60%
0%
AWAY : 40%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 57%
0%
Underdog : 43%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.2 - 2.7 (Model A.)
Chunichi Dragons : 60% (▲ 6%)
0% (-)
Yakult Swallows : 40% (▼ 6%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.5 - 3.9 (Model B.4)
Chunichi Dragons : 57% (▲ 3%)
0% (-)
Yakult Swallows : 43% (▼ 3%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.8 - 2.1
Chunichi Dragons : 54% (-)
0% (-)
Yakult Swallows : 46% (-)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 54%
D : 3%
AWAY : 43%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (54%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 54%
D : 3%
AWAY : 43%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (54%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%


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