Athletics

12 - 10

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Houston Astros

Sun, Apr 5, 2026 20:05 (UTC)


Facts

Athletics :
J. Lopez (SP, 6.48) 4.1, 3H, 3R, 3ER, 5BB, 6K, 1HR
J.T. Ginn (B, 5.14) 1.1, 2H, 2R, 2ER, 1K, 1HR
M. Leiter Jr. (B, 2.45),
E. Alvarado (W, 1-0, 8.44), 0.2, 1K
2B: Cortes (2, McCullers Jr.); Butler (1, Blubaugh); Kurtz (1, Blubaugh)
3B: Soderstrom (1, Okert)
HR: Rooker 2 (2, 7th inning off Blubaugh 1 on, 0 Out, 10th inning off Abreu 2 on, 0 Out)
RBI: McNeil (1), Rooker 6 (7), Cortes 2 (2), Soderstrom 3 (6)
Houston Astros :
L. McCullers Jr. (SP, 3.27) 4.0, 5H, 3R, 3ER, 3BB, 4K
B. Abreu (L, 0-1, 23.63) 0.1, 2H, 3R, 2ER, 1BB, 1HR
2B: Altuve (2, Barlow)
HR: Walker (2, 7th inning off Ginn 1 on, 1 Out); Alvarez (4, 5th inning off Lopez 1 on, 1 Out); Meyers (1, 8th inning off Barlow 0 on, 0 Out)
RBI: Altuve (5), Correa (8), Walker 2 (11), Alvarez 2 (10), Meyers (4), Smith 3 (5)
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 80%
D: 0%
Away: 20%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.33 - 1.75)
HOMETEAM: 43%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 57%

Athletics (Fact Index 2.33): Expected Win % is 43%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.

Houston Astros (Fact Index 1.75): Expected Win % is 57%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 53%
0%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 47%
0%
Underdog : 53%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 6.5 - 6.0 (Model A.)
Athletics : 50% (▲ 7%)
0% (-)
Houston Astros : 50% (▼ 7%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Athletics | 0.250 | 0.323 | ▲ 0.073
T | Houston Astros | 0.667 | 0.648 | ▼ 0.019
P | Athletics | 0.333 | 0.290 | ▼ 0.043
P | Houston Astros | 0.833 | 0.760 | ▼ 0.073
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.6 - 6.3 (Model B.4)
Athletics : 38% (▼ 5%)
0% (-)
Houston Astros : 62% (▲ 5%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 2.0 - 1.8
Athletics : 47% (▲ 4%)
0% (-)
Houston Astros : 53% (▼ 4%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%

Awayteam = 1.8 Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%

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