Orix Buffaloes

3 - 1

Rakuten Gold. Eagles

Fortress: Orix Buffaloes Wins 2nd Straight at Home. Conversely, Rakuten Gold. Eagles Reeling: 6th Consecutive Loss.

Wed, Aug 5, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 0%
Away: 60%

Home team Side

Away team Side

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.79 - 2.33)
HOMETEAM: 56%
1%
AWAYTEAM: 43%

Weight: [Gap Exists] (54.55)
Intensity: [Moderate] (45.45)

Orix Buffaloes (Fact Index 1.79):
Expected Win % is 56%, compared to a 54% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 56% in this event.

Rakuten Gold. Eagles (Fact Index 2.33):
Expected Win % is 43%, compared to a 39% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 38% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Orix Buffaloes:
T : 0.500 (0.439 / ▲0.061)
H : 0.723 (0.599 / ▲0.124)
A : 0.300 (0.325 / ▼0.025)
P : 0.500 (0.462 / ▲0.038)

Rakuten Gold. Eagles:
T : 0.387 (0.392 / ▼0.005)
H : 0.469 (0.463 / ▲0.006)
A : 0.289 (0.315 / ▼0.026)
P : 0.167 (0.262 / ▼0.095)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 16 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 56%
6%
AWAY : 38%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 16 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
6%
Underdog : 44%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 28 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 54%
7%
AWAY : 39%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 28 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
7%
Underdog : 43%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.2 - 3.4 (Model A.)
Orix Buffaloes : 57% (▲ 1%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Rakuten Gold. Eagles : 43% (-)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.7 - 4.5 (Model B.4)
Orix Buffaloes : 51% (▼ 5%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Rakuten Gold. Eagles : 49% (▲ 6%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.6 - 2.4
Orix Buffaloes : 61% (▲ 5%)
0% (▼ 1%)
Rakuten Gold. Eagles : 40% (▼ 3%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 13 game(s)

HOME : 77%
D : 0%
AWAY : 23%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (61%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 67%
D : 3%
AWAY : 30%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 0%
AWAY : 40%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (61%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


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