Double-Header

New York Yankees

1 - 6

Doubleheader - Game 2

Tampa Bay Rays

Tue, Sep 22, 2026 23:05 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 0%
Away: 60%

Home team Side

Away team Side

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.92 - 2.08)
HOMETEAM: 52%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 48%

Weight: [Adjacent] (6.90)
Intensity: [Extreme] (93.10)

New York Yankees (Fact Index 1.92):
Expected Win % is 52%, compared to a 63% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 57% in this event.

Tampa Bay Rays (Fact Index 2.08):
Expected Win % is 48%, compared to a 37% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 43% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

New York Yankees:
T : 0.577 (0.598 / ▼0.021)
H : 0.573 (0.582 / ▼0.009)
A : 0.580 (0.614 / ▼0.034)
P : 0.500 (0.658 / ▼0.158)

Tampa Bay Rays:
T : 0.609 (0.557 / ▲0.052)
H : 0.679 (0.567 / ▲0.112)
A : 0.533 (0.546 / ▼0.013)
P : 0.667 (0.767 / ▼0.100)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 57%
0%
AWAY : 43%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 60%
10%
Underdog : 30%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 63%
0%
AWAY : 37%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 63%
10%
Underdog : 27%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.4 - 4.1 (Model A.)
New York Yankees : 53% (▲ 1%)
0% (-)
Tampa Bay Rays : 47% (▼ 1%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.5 - 3.0 (Model B.4)
New York Yankees : 60% (▲ 8%)
0% (-)
Tampa Bay Rays : 40% (▼ 8%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.8 - 2.1
New York Yankees : 55% (▲ 3%)
0% (-)
Tampa Bay Rays : 46% (▼ 2%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 25 game(s)

HOME : 52%
D : 0%
AWAY : 48%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (55%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 53%
D : 0%
AWAY : 47%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (55%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


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