Kia Tigers

15 - 5

Samsung Lions

Wed, Apr 8, 2026 09:30 (UTC)


Facts

Kia Tigers :
KIM Tae Hyeong (SP, 7.56) 3.1, 9H, 1HR, 3BB, 1K, 5R, 5ER
CHO Sang Woo (W, 1-1, 4.50) 1.1, 1H
H: LEE Tae Yang (1.50)
2B: CASTRO Harold, KIM Ho Ryung
HR: KIM Do Yeong (2, 3rd LEE Seung Hyun, 2R), NA Sung Bum (2, 3rd LEE Seung Hyun, 2R)
RBI: KIM Ho Ryung, KIM Sun Bin, KIM Do Yeong 2, CASTRO Harold 4, NA Sung Bum 5, PARK Jae Hyun 2
Samsung Lions :
LEE Seung Hyun (SP, L, 0-1, 15.26) 2.2, 11H, 2HR, 8BB, 12R, 12E
2B: RYU Ji Hyuk, KIM Tae Hoon
HR: CHOI Hyoung Woo (4, 4th KIM Tae Hyeong, 2R)
RBI: RYU Ji Hyuk 2, CHOI Hyoung Woo 2, KOO Ja Wook
[삼성 vs KIA] 4/8 경기 I 2026 신한 SOL KBO 리그 I 하이라이트 I TVING
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 70%
D: 0%
Away: 30%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.94 - 1.56)
HOMETEAM: 34%
2%
AWAYTEAM: 64%

Kia Tigers (Fact Index 2.94): Expected Win % is 34%, compared to a 67% actual win rate for identical index values.

Samsung Lions (Fact Index 1.56): Expected Win % is 64%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 67%
0%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 67%
0%
Underdog : 33%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.1 - 5.1 (Model A.)
Kia Tigers : 43% (▲ 9%)
0% (▼ 2%)
Samsung Lions : 57% (▼ 7%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Kia Tigers | 0.222 | 0.282 | ▲ 0.060
T | Samsung Lions | 0.625 | 0.653 | ▲ 0.028
H | Kia Tigers | 0.250 | 0.146 | ▼ 0.104
A | Samsung Lions | 0.750 | 0.718 | ▼ 0.032
P | Kia Tigers | 0.167 | 0.138 | ▼ 0.029
P | Samsung Lions | 0.833 | 0.813 | ▼ 0.020
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.5 - 4.7 (Model B.4)
Kia Tigers : 41% (▲ 7%)
0% (▼ 2%)
Samsung Lions : 59% (▼ 5%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 2.1 - 1.7
Kia Tigers : 45% (▲ 11%)
0% (▼ 2%)
Samsung Lions : 55% (▼ 9%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 43%
D : 0%
AWAY : 57%

Awayteam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%

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