Chiba Lotte Marines

1 - 4

Orix Buffaloes

Wed, Apr 22, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 0%
Away: 60%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.96 - 2.04)
HOMETEAM: 51%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 49%

Chiba Lotte Marines (Fact Index 1.96): Expected Win % is 51%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Orix Buffaloes (Fact Index 2.04): Expected Win % is 49%, compared to a 50% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 50%
3%
Underdog : 47%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.5 - 3.6 (Model A.)
Chiba Lotte Marines : 61% (▲ 10%)
0% (-)
Orix Buffaloes : 39% (▼ 10%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.409 | 0.378 | ▼ 0.031
T | Orix Buffaloes | 0.571 | 0.484 | ▼ 0.087
H | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.600 | 0.603 | ▲ 0.003
A | Orix Buffaloes | 0.333 | 0.320 | ▼ 0.013
P | Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.667 | 0.516 | ▼ 0.151
P | Orix Buffaloes | 0.667 | 0.644 | ▼ 0.023
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.0 - 4.4 (Model B.4)
Chiba Lotte Marines : 32% (▼ 19%)
0% (-)
Orix Buffaloes : 68% (▲ 19%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 2.1 - 1.7
Chiba Lotte Marines : 45% (▼ 6%)
0% (-)
Orix Buffaloes : 55% (▲ 6%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Awayteam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 54%
D : 3%
AWAY : 43%

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