New York Yankees

9 - 2

Tampa Bay Rays

Wed, Sep 23, 2026 23:05 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 0%
Away: 60%

Home team Side

Away team Side

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.17 - 1.85)
HOMETEAM: 46%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 54%

Weight: [Adjacent] (6.90)
Intensity: [Extreme] (93.10)

New York Yankees (Fact Index 2.17):
Expected Win % is 46%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 47% in this event.

Tampa Bay Rays (Fact Index 1.85):
Expected Win % is 54%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 53% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

New York Yankees:
T : 0.573 (0.594 / ▼0.021)
H : 0.566 (0.574 / ▼0.008)
A : 0.580 (0.614 / ▼0.034)
P : 0.333 (0.444 / ▼0.111)

Tampa Bay Rays:
T : 0.611 (0.560 / ▲0.051)
H : 0.679 (0.567 / ▲0.112)
A : 0.539 (0.553 / ▼0.014)
P : 0.667 (0.842 / ▼0.175)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 47%
0%
AWAY : 53%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
3%
Underdog : 47%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 47%
0%
AWAY : 53%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
3%
Underdog : 47%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.2 - 4.1 (Model A.)
New York Yankees : 49% (▲ 3%)
0% (-)
Tampa Bay Rays : 51% (▼ 3%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.9 - 4.3 (Model B.4)
New York Yankees : 47% (▲ 1%)
0% (-)
Tampa Bay Rays : 53% (▼ 1%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.6 - 2.3
New York Yankees : 58% (▲ 12%)
0% (-)
Tampa Bay Rays : 42% (▼ 12%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 63%
D : 0%
AWAY : 37%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (58%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 60%
D : 0%
AWAY : 40%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 70%
D : 0%
AWAY : 30%

Based on Home team = 1.6 (58%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 70%
D : 0%
AWAY : 30%


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