Atlanta Braves

3 - 2

Extra innings / 10

Cincinnati Reds

Wed, Sep 23, 2026 23:15 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.79 - 2.27)
HOMETEAM: 56%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 44%

Weight: [Distant] (65.52)
Intensity: [Tilted] (34.48)

Atlanta Braves (Fact Index 1.79):
Expected Win % is 56%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 47% in this event.

Cincinnati Reds (Fact Index 2.27):
Expected Win % is 44%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 53% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Atlanta Braves:
T : 0.586 (0.579 / ▲0.007)
H : 0.646 (0.594 / ▲0.052)
A : 0.526 (0.564 / ▼0.038)
P : 0.667 (0.576 / ▲0.091)

Cincinnati Reds:
T : 0.465 (0.403 / ▲0.062)
H : 0.469 (0.424 / ▲0.045)
A : 0.461 (0.384 / ▲0.077)
P : 0.500 (0.371 / ▲0.129)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 47%
0%
AWAY : 53%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 50%
3%
Underdog : 47%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 53%
0%
AWAY : 47%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 47%
3%
Underdog : 50%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 6.0 - 3.7 (Model A.)
Atlanta Braves : 60% (▲ 4%)
0% (-)
Cincinnati Reds : 40% (▼ 4%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.7 - 3.6 (Model B.4)
Atlanta Braves : 68% (▲ 12%)
0% (-)
Cincinnati Reds : 32% (▼ 12%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.4 - 3.0
Atlanta Braves : 68% (▲ 12%)
0% (-)
Cincinnati Reds : 32% (▼ 12%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 67%
D : 0%
AWAY : 33%

Based on Home team = 1.4 (68%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 70%
D : 0%
AWAY : 30%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 73%
D : 0%
AWAY : 27%

Based on Home team = 1.4 (68%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 73%
D : 0%
AWAY : 27%


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