Kansas City Royals

1 - 5

Minnesota Twins

Thu, Apr 2, 2026 18:10 (UTC)


Facts

Kansas City Royals :
C. Ragans (SP, L 0-2, 3.60) 6.0, 4H, 1R, 0ER, 1BB, 8K
RBI: Pasquantino (4, 0.200)
Minnesota Twins :
T. Bradley (SP, W 1-0, 0.87) 6.0, 5H, 1BB, 3K
K. Funderburk (H 2, 4.91), C. Sands (H 2, 5.40)
2B: Lewis (2, Schreiber)
HR: Bell (2, 9th inning off Cruz 0 on, 1 Out); Clemens (1, 9th inning off Cruz 0 on, 1 Out); Wallner (2, 9th inning off Cruz 0 on, 0 Out)
RBI: Bell (5), Buxton (1), Clemens (2), Wallner (2)
Twins vs. Royals Game Highlights (4/2/26) | MLB Highlights
FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 60%
D: 0%
Away: 40%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.56 - 2.78)
HOMETEAM: 64%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 36%

Kansas City Royals (Fact Index 1.56): Expected Win % is 64%, compared to a 67% actual win rate for identical index values.

Minnesota Twins (Fact Index 2.78): Expected Win % is 36%, compared to a 33% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 67%
0%
AWAY : 33%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 53%
0%
Underdog : 47%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 7.0 - 5.0 (Model A.)
Kansas City Royals : 64% (-)
0% (-)
Minnesota Twins : 36% (-)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Kansas City Royals | 0.600 | 0.480 | ▼ 0.120
T | Minnesota Twins | 0.200 | 0.387 | ▲ 0.187
A | Minnesota Twins | 0.200 | 0.387 | ▲ 0.187
P | Kansas City Royals | 0.600 | 0.480 | ▼ 0.120
P | Minnesota Twins | 0.200 | 0.387 | ▲ 0.187
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.7 - 3.7 (Model B.4)
Kansas City Royals : 55% (▼ 9%)
0% (-)
Minnesota Twins : 45% (▲ 9%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.6 - 2.3
Kansas City Royals : 59% (▼ 5%)
0% (-)
Minnesota Twins : 41% (▲ 5%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 60%
D : 0%
AWAY : 40%

Hometeam = 1.6 Trend:

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

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