Minnesota Twins

3 - 1

Cleveland Guardians

Minnesota Twins on Fire: 3-Game Winning Streak. However, A 3-game losing skid is plaguing Cleveland Guardians.

Tue, Jul 7, 2026 23:40 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 50%
D: 0%
Away: 50%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.96 - 2.04)
HOMETEAM: 51%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 49%

Minnesota Twins (Fact Index 1.96): Expected Win % is 51%, compared to a 43% actual win rate for identical index values.

Cleveland Guardians (Fact Index 2.04): Expected Win % is 49%, compared to a 57% actual win rate for identical index values.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 43%
0%
AWAY : 57%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 43%
3%
Underdog : 54%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.0 - 5.0 (Model A.)
Minnesota Twins : 50% (▼ 1%)
0% (-)
Cleveland Guardians : 50% (▲ 1%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Minnesota Twins | 0.484 | 0.479 | ▼ 0.005
T | Cleveland Guardians | 0.516 | 0.489 | ▼ 0.027
H | Minnesota Twins | 0.489 | 0.489 | 0.000
A | Cleveland Guardians | 0.511 | 0.478 | ▼ 0.033
P | Minnesota Twins | 0.667 | 0.694 | ▲ 0.027
P | Cleveland Guardians | 0.500 | 0.534 | ▲ 0.034
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 4.4 - 4.0 (Model B.4)
Minnesota Twins : 54% (▲ 3%)
0% (-)
Cleveland Guardians : 46% (▼ 3%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 1.8 - 2.0
Minnesota Twins : 52% (▲ 1%)
0% (-)
Cleveland Guardians : 48% (▼ 1%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%

Hometeam = 1.8 Trend:

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%

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