Yakult Swallows

3 - 1

Yomiuri Giants

Yakult Swallows dominates at home, making it 2 consecutive home victories. Meanwhile, Yomiuri Giants Rut Deepens: 2 Games Without Win.

Sun, Apr 19, 2026 09:00 (UTC)


Facts

FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 70%
D: 0%
Away: 30%

Home vs Away

Away vs Home

Neutral

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (1.72 - 2.63)
HOMETEAM: 58%
4%
AWAYTEAM: 38%

Yakult Swallows (Fact Index 1.72): Expected Win % is 58%, compared to a 80% actual win rate for identical index values.

Yomiuri Giants (Fact Index 2.63): Expected Win % is 38%, compared to a 20% actual win rate for identical index values.

Note that the limited sample size makes it difficult to establish this as a definitive long-term trend.

Actual win rate : Max 30 Games / Real time.

HOME : 80%
0%
AWAY : 20%

The Favorite vs Underdog. (Average Odds)

Favorite : 60%
0%
Underdog : 40%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 4.0 - 4.0 (Model A.)
Yakult Swallows : 55% (▼ 3%)
0% (▼ 4%)
Yomiuri Giants : 45% (▲ 7%)

|Season Win%|Expected Win%|Expected Win% - Season Win%
T | Yakult Swallows | 0.722 | 0.589 | ▼ 0.133
T | Yomiuri Giants | 0.556 | 0.523 | ▼ 0.033
H | Yakult Swallows | 0.778 | 0.639 | ▼ 0.139
A | Yomiuri Giants | 0.667 | 0.617 | ▼ 0.050
P | Yakult Swallows | 0.833 | 0.554 | ▼ 0.279
P | Yomiuri Giants | 0.500 | 0.595 | ▲ 0.095
T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)

Expected Runs (xR) : 3.1 - 3.3 (Model B.4)
Yakult Swallows : 51% (▼ 7%)
0% (▼ 4%)
Yomiuri Giants : 49% (▲ 11%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation. (Current: ver.B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%)


Average Odds : 2.2 - 1.7
Yakult Swallows : 43% (▼ 15%)
0% (▼ 4%)
Yomiuri Giants : 57% (▲ 19%)

Odds Trend:

HOME : 47%
D : 0%
AWAY : 53%

Awayteam = 1.7 Trend:

HOME : 54%
D : 3%
AWAY : 43%

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