Chicago Cubs

4 - 9

Milwaukee Brewers

Tue, Sep 1, 2026 23:40 (UTC)


FACT INDEX AND PREDICTION
HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 games

Home: 40%
D: 0%
Away: 60%

Home team Side

Away team Side

These symbols () are Sorted by Newest.

FACT INDEX (2.22 - 1.82)
HOMETEAM: 45%
0%
AWAYTEAM: 55%

Weight: [Close] (13.79)
Intensity: [Extreme] (86.21)

Chicago Cubs (Fact Index 2.22):
Expected Win % is 45%, compared to a 47% actual win rate for identical index values.
Nevertheless, they maintain an actual win rate of 50% in this event.

Milwaukee Brewers (Fact Index 1.82):
Expected Win % is 55%, compared to a 53% actual win rate for identical index values.
However, they are currently recording a 50% actual win rate in this tournament.


Expected Win Percentage

Chicago Cubs:
T : 0.565 (0.595 / ▼0.030)
H : 0.580 (0.582 / ▼0.002)
A : 0.551 (0.609 / ▼0.058)
P : 0.333 (0.701 / ▼0.368)

Milwaukee Brewers:
T : 0.616 (0.622 / ▼0.006)
H : 0.653 (0.687 / ▼0.034)
A : 0.576 (0.548 / ▲0.028)
P : 0.667 (0.542 / ▲0.125)

* Note Abbr. : Season Win% ( Expected Win% / Season W% - Expected Win%)
** Abbr. T: Season, H: Home, A: Away, P: Power Ranking (Last 6)


Competition

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 50%
0%
AWAY : 50%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 63%
0%
Underdog : 37%


Baseball

Results of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) In real-time

HOME : 47%
0%
AWAY : 53%

The Favorite vs Underdog of the same FACT INDEX : 30 Game(s) in Average Odds

Favorite : 63%
0%
Underdog : 37%

PREDICTION
Expected Runs (xR) : 5.2 - 4.8 (Model A.)
Chicago Cubs : 48% (▲ 3%)
0% (-)
Milwaukee Brewers : 52% (▼ 3%)

Expected Runs (xR) : 6.3 - 4.4 (Model B.4)
Chicago Cubs : 56% (▲ 11%)
0% (-)
Milwaukee Brewers : 44% (▼ 11%)

Model B is an experimental predictive simulation.
Current: ver. B.4 / Data Completion Rate : 100%

Since baseball involves two- or three-game series, this prediction could be for the whole series.

Fact Index - Prediction Variance


Average Odds : 1.8 - 2.1
Chicago Cubs : 54% (▲ 9%)
0% (-)
Milwaukee Brewers : 46% (▼ 9%)

Data Source: Oddsportal

Please feel free to research player deployments or other detailed matters on your own; a brief search will yield a wealth of information.
Fact Index - Average Odds Variance


Competition

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (54%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 63%
D : 0%
AWAY : 37%


Baseball

Odds Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 50%
D : 0%
AWAY : 50%

Based on Home team = 1.8 (54%) Trend: 30 game(s)

HOME : 57%
D : 0%
AWAY : 43%


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